Man Utd xG scores & stats 19-20 season- Expected Goals vs Actual Goals Scored in every game

By Soccer Blog | Aug 21, 2019

Here is a look at Manchester United’s xG scores and statistics for the 2019/20 league season. xG stands for expected goals- a metric that seeks to measure the probability of goals that should’ve been scored given past data for similar efforts. Will be updated throughout the season as games take place- last updated after Norwich 1-3 Man Utd xG (0.89-4.51) on October 27, 2019.

What is Man U’s highest xG score in the 2019/20 Premier League season?

As of GW 10, it is the 4.51 they had against Norwich in Round 10. The second best is the 2.36 they had against Chelsea in their first league game of the season

What is Man United’s lowest xG score in the 19/20 league season?

As of Game Week 10, it’s the 0.79 they had against Liverpool at Old Trafford in Week 9

Table showing xG scores for Man United games versus actual goals scored.

GameMan Utd xGOpponent xGActual Man Utd goals scoredActual opponent GS
Man Utd v Chelsea2.361.3440
Wolves v Man Utd1.150.3111
Man Utd v Crystal Palace2.240.6812
Southampton v Man Utd1.900.7711
Man Utd vs Leicester1.100.4610
West Ham v Man Utd1.220.5302
Man Utd v Arsenal1.131.7011
Newcastle v Man Utd0.970.6501
Man Utd v Liverpool0.791.0311
Norwich v Man Utd4.510.8931

Week 1: Man United 4-0 Chelsea (2.36-1.34). The scoreline perhaps flattered United, given how well Chelsea played in the first half. Of United’s four goals, Daniel James’ debut goal had the lowest xG (0.13)

Week 2: Anthony Martial’s opener against Wolves had a xG of just 0.11, showing that the French forward is a very, very good finisher while Ruben Neves’ wonder equaliser was even better, with a xG of 0.03

Week 3: Manchester United 1-2 Crystal Palace (2.24- 0.68). Marcus Rashford’s penalty miss hurt United, who had 22 shots to Palace’s five, but ended up losing the game. Patrick van Aanholt’s 90th minute winner (the first such goal against United since Thierry Henry back in 2007) had a xG of 0.10, while Jordan Ayew’s opener had a xG of 0.29. Daniel James’ goal for United had a xG of 0.35

Week 4: Southampton 1-1 Man Utd (0.77-1.90). Daniel James scored a great goal to open United’s scoring (xG of 0.06) but Saints equalised through defender Jannik Vestergaard with a goal just before the hour mark (xG of 0.08)

Week 5: Manchester United 1-0 Leicester City (1.10-0.45). United’s only goal of this game came through a Marcus Rashford 8th minute penalty (xG 0.76).

Week 6: West Ham 2-0 Man Utd (0.53-1.22). One of United’s poorer performances this season. They did have their chances (as demonstrated by the higher xG score, notably misses for Juan Mata and Harry Maguire)

Week 7: Man Utd 1-1 Arsenal (1.13-1.70). Scott Tominay’s goal was a fantastic one– it had a xG of just 0.02, as compared to Aubameyang’s goal which had a xG of 0.41

Week 8: Newcastle 1-0 Man United (0.65-0.97) Harry Maguire’s open header miss had a xG of 0.48 as United slumped to another away defeat. Young Matty Longstaff scored on league debut for NUFC.

Week 9: Man Utd 1-1 Liverpool (0.79-1.03): Marcus Rashford’s goal for United had a xG 0f 0.57

Week 10: Norwich 1-3 Man Utd (0.89-4.51). United’s highest xG score of the season so far. Their three goals that evening had the following xG’s- McTominay (0.07), Rashford (0.38) and Martial (0.45). Norwich’s goal had a xG of 0.08

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