xG Southampton vs Man Utd 2022 | Expected Goals Quadruple Chance Bruno Elanga Eriksen

By Soccer Blog | Aug 27, 2022

Here is a look at the xG stats from Southampton vs Manchester United on August 27, 2022. United edge this clash 1-0 thanks to Bruno’s second half strike. There was one very notable passage of play, where Bruno, Elanga and Eriksen all went close, but Southampton put their bodies on the line and denied them.

xG Southampton 1.45-1.31 Man Utd shots map (Actual score Saints 0-1 MUFC)

0-1 Bruno goal vs Southampton xG 0.07

19th minute Bruno header chance vs Southampton xG 0.16 (blocked)
19th minute Elanga chance vs Southampton xG 0.35 (saved by keeper)
19th minute Bruno chance vs Southampton xG 0.55 (blocked)
19th minute Eriksen chance vs Southampton xG 0.55 (blocked)

All these multiple chances came in the same move/passage of play.

While these Man Utd chances vs Southampton in the 19th minute had individual xG, they cannot be added up for the team xG, because the team probability for a goal cannot be greater than 1.

So their xG (for team) is {1- [(1-xG1)*(1-xG2)*(1-xG3)*(1-xG4)]}

Bella Kotchap 31st minute chance vs Man Utd xG 0.40

xG Southampton vs Manchester United 2022

Southampton vs Man United 0-1 Match Stats for comparison

(more shots for Saints, but most of them were half chances, falling to the likes of Armstrong, Adams and Mara)

Saints 0-1 Man United Match Stats 2022

Casemiro made his league debut for Man United in this game against Southampton as a second half replacement for Anthony Elanga.

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